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In probability theory and statistics, the binomial distribution with parameters n and p is the discrete probability distribution of the number of successes in a sequence of n independent experiments, each asking a yes–no question, and each with its own Boolean-valued outcome: success (with probability p) or failure (with probability q = 1 − p).
The original problem is to find the probability that the first candidate is always strictly ahead in the vote count. One may instead consider the problem of finding the probability that the second candidate is never ahead (that is, with ties are allowed). In this case, the answer is + +.
The probability density function (PDF) for the Wilson score interval, plus PDF s at interval bounds. Tail areas are equal. Since the interval is derived by solving from the normal approximation to the binomial, the Wilson score interval ( , + ) has the property of being guaranteed to obtain the same result as the equivalent z-test or chi-squared test.
The binomial test is useful to test hypotheses about the probability of success: : = where is a user-defined value between 0 and 1.. If in a sample of size there are successes, while we expect , the formula of the binomial distribution gives the probability of finding this value:
The probability that they change an incorrect majority to a correct majority is (1-p)p 2, while the probability that they change a correct majority to an incorrect majority is p(1-p) 2. The first of these probabilities is greater than the second if and only if p > 1/2, proving the theorem.
Within a system whose bins are filled according to the binomial distribution (such as Galton's "bean machine", shown here), given a sufficient number of trials (here the rows of pins, each of which causes a dropped "bean" to fall toward the left or right), a shape representing the probability distribution of k successes in n trials (see bottom of Fig. 7) matches approximately the Gaussian ...
A Poisson binomial distribution can be approximated by a binomial distribution where , the mean of the , is the success probability of . The variances of P B {\displaystyle PB} and B {\displaystyle B} are related by the formula
Different texts (and even different parts of this article) adopt slightly different definitions for the negative binomial distribution. They can be distinguished by whether the support starts at k = 0 or at k = r, whether p denotes the probability of a success or of a failure, and whether r represents success or failure, [1] so identifying the specific parametrization used is crucial in any ...
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