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National Popular Vote contends that an election being decided based on a disputed tally is far less likely under the NPVIC, which creates one large nationwide pool of voters, than under the current system, in which the national winner may be determined by an extremely small margin in any one of the fifty-one smaller statewide tallies. [36]
In a United States presidential election, the popular vote is the total number or the percentage of votes cast for a candidate by voters in the 50 states and Washington, D.C.; the candidate who gains the most votes nationwide is said to have won the popular vote. However, the popular vote is not used to determine who is elected as the nation's ...
He lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton in 2016 by nearly 2.9 million votes. President Joe Biden also won the popular vote by a 4-point margin over Trump in 2020, unseating the then-incumbent.
Trump won the national popular vote with a plurality of 49.8%, [40] making him the first Republican to do so since George W. Bush in 2004. [41] Relative to the 2020 election, he improved his vote share among working class voters, particularly among young men, those without college degrees, and Hispanic voters. [42]
Trump maintains a 1.9% lead in the national popular vote, while Kamala Harris's support numbers have remained virtually unchanged since her candidacy was made official. 🔴 Trump: 49.1%
In addition, the Cook Political Report’s 2024 National Popular Vote Tracker shows Trump defeating Harris by a close margin of 49.85% to 48.27%. Furthermore, on Nov. 26, ...
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Silver’s model predicts that Harris has a 58.9% chance at winning the national popular vote – which has no bearing on the winner of the race – but that Trump will rack up 274 Electoral ...