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We are Canada’s most sought-after, influential, and impactful polling and market research firm. We are hired by many of North America’s most respected and influential brands and organizations. We use the latest technology, sound science, and deep experience to generate top-flight research-based advice to our clients.
If an election were held today, who would win? The CBC News Poll Tracker is your guide to following the polls. Get the latest numbers and analysis on where the political parties stand from...
The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal.
Important note: Some polls are not be listed below because their data is behind a paywall (such as most Nanos weekly updates), but they are included in the projections.
The odds of winning and of outcome are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo -type program that runs thousands of general election simulations, using vote projections per riding, past results, and various demographic data as the main variables.
This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2021 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2025 Canadian federal election. National polls [ edit ]
Get access to exclusive polling and model content. Polling reports with full crosstabs for Gender, Age, Education, Income, Language, and Past Vote. Federal, Provincial, and Municipal polling. Vote on polls we conduct of key ridings.
The poll tracker is a product of the ongoing partnership between Abacus Data and the Toronto Star, launched last year to continually take the pulse of Canadian voters.
Canadians have a more muted reaction to the NDP and BQ. Even among those in QC, 19% say they would never vote for the Bloc. The Conservatives have a 19-point lead over the Liberals, who still appear at risk of losing their second-place position.
Reuters charts, maps and graphics. Poll date LIB CON NDP BQ GRN PPC Pollster Size Method ; 19-Sep: 32: 31: 19: 7: 4: 6: Abacus