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  2. Second moment method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_moment_method

    To obtain an upper bound for Pr(X > 0), and thus a lower bound for Pr(X = 0), we first note that since X takes only integer values, Pr(X > 0) = Pr(X ≥ 1). Since X is non-negative we can now apply Markov's inequality to obtain Pr(X ≥ 1) ≤ E[X]. Combining these we have Pr(X > 0) ≤ E[X]; the first moment method is simply the use of this ...

  3. Interval arithmetic - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interval_arithmetic

    The main objective of interval arithmetic is to provide a simple way of calculating upper and lower bounds of a function's range in one or more variables. These endpoints are not necessarily the true supremum or infimum of a range since the precise calculation of those values can be difficult or impossible; the bounds only need to contain the function's range as a subset.

  4. Probability bounds analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_bounds_analysis

    The bounds often also enclose distributions that are not themselves possible. For instance, the set of probability distributions that could result from adding random values without the independence assumption from two (precise) distributions is generally a proper subset of all the distributions enclosed by the p-box computed for the sum. That ...

  5. Prediction interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_interval

    Given a sample from a normal distribution, whose parameters are unknown, it is possible to give prediction intervals in the frequentist sense, i.e., an interval [a, b] based on statistics of the sample such that on repeated experiments, X n+1 falls in the interval the desired percentage of the time; one may call these "predictive confidence intervals".

  6. Copula (statistics) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Copula_(statistics)

    The upper bound is sharp: M is always a copula, it corresponds to comonotone random variables. The lower bound is point-wise sharp, in the sense that for fixed u , there is a copula C ~ {\displaystyle {\tilde {C}}} such that C ~ ( u ) = W ( u ) {\displaystyle {\tilde {C}}(u)=W(u)} .

  7. Chernoff bound - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernoff_bound

    In probability theory, a Chernoff bound is an exponentially decreasing upper bound on the tail of a random variable based on its moment generating function. The minimum of all such exponential bounds forms the Chernoff or Chernoff-Cramér bound , which may decay faster than exponential (e.g. sub-Gaussian ).

  8. Bhattacharyya distance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bhattacharyya_distance

    In statistics, the Bhattacharyya distance is a quantity which represents a notion of similarity between two probability distributions. [1] It is closely related to the Bhattacharyya coefficient, which is a measure of the amount of overlap between two statistical samples or populations.

  9. Hoeffding's inequality - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hoeffding's_inequality

    This upper bound is the best for the value of s minimizing the value inside the exponential. This can be done easily by optimizing a quadratic, giving = = (). Writing the above bound for this value of s, we get the desired bound:

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