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Probability bounds analysis (PBA) is a collection of methods of uncertainty propagation for making qualitative and quantitative calculations in the face of uncertainties of various kinds. It is used to project partial information about random variables and other quantities through mathematical expressions.
To obtain an upper bound for Pr(X > 0), and thus a lower bound for Pr(X = 0), we first note that since X takes only integer values, Pr(X > 0) = Pr(X ≥ 1). Since X is non-negative we can now apply Markov's inequality to obtain Pr(X ≥ 1) ≤ E[X]. Combining these we have Pr(X > 0) ≤ E[X]; the first moment method is simply the use of this ...
In probability theory, Popoviciu's inequality, named after Tiberiu Popoviciu, is an upper bound on the variance σ 2 of any bounded probability distribution. Let M and m be upper and lower bounds on the values of any random variable with a particular probability distribution.
In probability theory, Hoeffding's inequality provides an upper bound on the probability that the sum of bounded independent random variables deviates from its expected value by more than a certain amount. Hoeffding's inequality was proven by Wassily Hoeffding in 1963. [1]
when the two marginal functions and the copula density function are known, then the joint probability density function between the two random variables can be calculated, or; when the two marginal functions and the joint probability density function between the two random variables are known, then the copula density function can be calculated.
Chebyshev's inequality then follows by dividing by k 2 σ 2. This proof also shows why the bounds are quite loose in typical cases: the conditional expectation on the event where |X − μ| < kσ is thrown away, and the lower bound of k 2 σ 2 on the event |X − μ| ≥ kσ can be quite poor.
Let be the product of two independent variables = each uniformly distributed on the interval [0,1], possibly the outcome of a copula transformation. As noted in "Lognormal Distributions" above, PDF convolution operations in the Log domain correspond to the product of sample values in the original domain.
In probability theory, a Chernoff bound is an exponentially decreasing upper bound on the tail of a random variable based on its moment generating function. The minimum of all such exponential bounds forms the Chernoff or Chernoff-Cramér bound , which may decay faster than exponential (e.g. sub-Gaussian ).
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