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The sign of the covariance of two random variables X and Y. In probability theory and statistics, covariance is a measure of the joint variability of two random variables. [1] The sign of the covariance, therefore, shows the tendency in the linear relationship between the variables.
If the points in the joint probability distribution of X and Y that receive positive probability tend to fall along a line of positive (or negative) slope, ρ XY is near +1 (or −1). If ρ XY equals +1 or −1, it can be shown that the points in the joint probability distribution that receive positive probability fall exactly along a straight ...
In the case of a time series which is stationary in the wide sense, both the means and variances are constant over time (E(X n+m) = E(X n) = μ X and var(X n+m) = var(X n) and likewise for the variable Y). In this case the cross-covariance and cross-correlation are functions of the time difference: cross-covariance
Note: The conditional expected values E( X | Z) and E( Y | Z) are random variables whose values depend on the value of Z. Note that the conditional expected value of X given the event Z = z is a function of z. If we write E( X | Z = z) = g(z) then the random variable E( X | Z) is g(Z). Similar comments apply to the conditional covariance.
In words: the variance of Y is the sum of the expected conditional variance of Y given X and the variance of the conditional expectation of Y given X. The first term captures the variation left after "using X to predict Y", while the second term captures the variation due to the mean of the prediction of Y due to the randomness of X.
Pearson's correlation coefficient is the covariance of the two variables divided by the product of their standard deviations. The form of the definition involves a "product moment", that is, the mean (the first moment about the origin) of the product of the mean-adjusted random variables; hence the modifier product-moment in the name.
To determine the value (), note that we rotated the plane so that the line x+y = z now runs vertically with x-intercept equal to c. So c is just the distance from the origin to the line x + y = z along the perpendicular bisector, which meets the line at its nearest point to the origin, in this case ( z / 2 , z / 2 ) {\displaystyle (z/2,z/2)\,} .
Then the unconditional probability that = is 3/6 = 1/2 (since there are six possible rolls of the dice, of which three are even), whereas the probability that = conditional on = is 1/3 (since there are three possible prime number rolls—2, 3, and 5—of which one is even).