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  2. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages

    www.aol.com/harris-trump-tied-538s-polling...

    Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...

  3. The 2024 election could come down to a single tipping ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/2024-election-could-come-down...

    In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...

  4. Kamala Harris Leads Polls and Betting Odds Against Trump as ...

    www.aol.com/kamala-harris-leads-polls-betting...

    As of Aug. 19, 6:00 a.m. ET, Polymarket, one of the largest such betting sites, puts the odds of a Harris victory at 51% (one can currently bet 51.1 cents to receive $1 should she win), while it ...

  5. 2024 United States presidential election betting odds: Trump ...

    www.aol.com/2024-united-states-presidential...

    According to realclearpolling.com, Harris now has a 49.4% chance to win November's election while Trump comes in at 49.3%. And now they're split across the board.

  6. Who's winning the presidential election? See polls between ...

    www.aol.com/whos-winning-presidential-election...

    The 2024 presidential election in the U.S. is inching closer and closer as early voters in some states are already deciding between Democratic nominee Kamala Harris and Republican nominee Donald ...

  7. Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

    www.aol.com/news/kamala-harris-beat-donald-trump...

    Harris has 49 percent of the vote and Trump 48 percent, according to the poll, which was taken in the first two weeks of October. This close race is also reflected in the swing states.

  8. Trump has gained in 538's forecast, but the election is still ...

    www.aol.com/trump-gained-538s-forecast-election...

    Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...

  9. Trump and Harris are both a normal polling error away from a ...

    www.aol.com/trump-harris-both-normal-polling...

    Meanwhile, our model reckons Harris needs to win the popular vote by 2.1 points to be favored to win the election because swing states are more Republican-leaning than the nation as a whole.