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PredictIt is a New Zealand-based online prediction market that offers exchanges on political and financial events. [1] PredictIt is owned and operated by Victoria University of Wellington [ 2 ] with support from Aristotle, Inc. [ 3 ] The company's office is located in Washington, D.C. [ 4 ] Only United States citizens can bet on the site.
PredictIt’s markets are a little closer. For the market called “Who will win the 2024 US presidential election?” the “yes” outcome for Trump is currently at $0.54 and the “yes ...
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Miller's model centers on the "prices" posted on America's most active political betting site, PredictIT. It's a highly liquid market that trades, on average, 37,000 shares per day.
Online prediction market PredictIt's 2024 presidential general election market showed Harris' odds at improving to 56% from 52% immediately before the debate, while Trump's odds slipped to 48% ...
It previously allowed limited academic use, such as with PredictIt, but withdrew support in 2022 and became involved in litigation with the project. The CFTC also targeted Polymarket , a crypto-based prediction market, resulting in the company moving offshore and paying a $1.4 million fine.
Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...
Either way, the way in which PredictIt—as an entity tied to a university in a nation state like New Zealand, which can bring down the hammer of law and policy if it so chooses—navigates this challenging subject within prediction markets is definitely article-worthy. It would improve the WP article if we explicated info about how these ...