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Polls did a better job estimating the popular vote in 2016 than in 2020. Polls took more heat in 2016 because they misfired at the state level, overestimating Clinton's advantage by around 5 ...
According to a February 2024 poll, Biden's age and health were major or moderate concerns for 86% of voters generally, [140] up from 76% earlier in 2020. [143] According to another 2024 poll, most of those who voted for Biden in 2020 believed he was too old to be an effective president; The New York Times noted that these concerns "cut across ...
Pew has also found the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump's performance was significantly underestimated.
In 2020, NBC’s exit polls showed Biden winning 60 percent of the young vote and Trump just 36 percent. But this year, Trump closed the gap by 7 percent among people aged 18-29 in the 2024 election.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
Democrats have dominated New Hampshire in recent presidential elections, but Harris' support among voters is falling from what President Joe Biden had in 2020 when he won the state with 52.8% of ...
The site provides an updated average for each candidate in the 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are ...