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The cover page of Ars Conjectandi. Ars Conjectandi (Latin for "The Art of Conjecturing") is a book on combinatorics and mathematical probability written by Jacob Bernoulli and published in 1713, eight years after his death, by his nephew, Niklaus Bernoulli.
Then considering the case with p = a and q = b, the last vote counted is either for the first candidate with probability a/(a + b), or for the second with probability b/(a + b). So the probability of the first being ahead throughout the count to the penultimate vote counted (and also after the final vote) is:
Download as PDF; Printable version ... Pages in category "Probability problems" The following 31 pages are in this category, out of 31 total. ... B. Balls into bins ...
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Sleeping Beauty problem: A probability problem that can be correctly answered as one half or one third depending on how the question is approached. Three Prisoners problem , also known as the Three Prisoners paradox: [ 3 ] A variation of the Monty Hall problem .
The a needle lies across a line, while the b needle does not. In probability theory, Buffon's needle problem is a question first posed in the 18th century by Georges-Louis Leclerc, Comte de Buffon: [1] Suppose we have a floor made of parallel strips of wood, each the same width, and we drop a needle onto the floor.
The Bertrand paradox is a problem within the classical interpretation of probability theory. Joseph Bertrand introduced it in his work Calcul des probabilités (1889) [1] as an example to show that the principle of indifference may not produce definite, well-defined results for probabilities if it is applied uncritically when the domain of possibilities is infinite.
In probability theory, a conditional event algebra (CEA) is an alternative to a standard, Boolean algebra of possible events (a set of possible events related to one another by the familiar operations and, or, and not) that contains not just ordinary events but also conditional events that have the form "if A, then B".