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  2. Time series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_series

    Time series analysis comprises methods for analyzing time series data in order to extract meaningful statistics and other characteristics of the data. Time series forecasting is the use of a model to predict future values based on previously observed values.

  3. Makridakis Competitions - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Makridakis_Competitions

    The time series included yearly, quarterly, monthly, daily, and other time series. In order to ensure that enough data was available to develop an accurate forecasting model, minimum thresholds were set for the number of observations: 14 for yearly series, 16 for quarterly series, 48 for monthly series, and 60 for other series. [1]

  4. Bayesian structural time series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/.../Bayesian_structural_time_series

    Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model is a statistical technique used for feature selection, time series forecasting, nowcasting, inferring causal impact and other applications. The model is designed to work with time series data. The model has also promising application in the field of analytical marketing. In particular, it can be used ...

  5. Autoregressive integrated moving average - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_integrated...

    In time series analysis used in statistics and econometrics, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA) models are generalizations of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model to non-stationary series and periodic variation, respectively.

  6. Autoregressive moving-average model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_moving...

    The CRAN task view on Time Series contains links to most of these. Mathematica has a complete library of time series functions including ARMA. [11] MATLAB includes functions such as arma, ar and arx to estimate autoregressive, exogenous autoregressive and ARMAX models. See System Identification Toolbox and Econometrics Toolbox for details.

  7. Moving-average model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moving-average_model

    [1] [2] The moving-average model specifies that the output variable is cross-correlated with a non-identical to itself random-variable. Together with the autoregressive (AR) model, the moving-average model is a special case and key component of the more general ARMA and ARIMA models of time series, [3] which have a more complicated stochastic ...

  8. Forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forecasting

    This forecasting method is only suitable for time series data. [17] Using the naïve approach, forecasts are produced that are equal to the last observed value. This method works quite well for economic and financial time series, which often have patterns that are difficult to reliably and accurately predict. [ 17 ]

  9. Decomposition of time series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decomposition_of_time_series

    In policy analysis, forecasting future production of biofuels is key data for making better decisions, and statistical time series models have recently been developed to forecast renewable energy sources, and a multiplicative decomposition method was designed to forecast future production of biohydrogen. The optimum length of the moving average ...