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The concept became important in the general elections of the 1950s when it was found that there was a relatively uniform swing across all constituencies. This made it easy to predict the final outcomes of general elections when few actual results were known, as the swing in the first constituencies to declare could be applied to every seat.
The hypothetical results of the 2019 election, if they had taken place under boundaries recommended by the Sixth Periodic Review. Notional election results are calculations made, usually following boundary changes of electoral districts brought about by population shifts, to determine what election results would have been in previous elections had the newly created boundaries then been in place.
The term general election is distinguished from primaries or caucuses, which are intra-party elections meant to select a party's official candidate for a particular race. Thus, if a primary is meant to elect a party's candidate for the position-in-question, a general election is meant to elect who occupies the position itself.
Polling guru John Curtice gives his views on Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer’s chances in the general election on 4 July
The redesigned swingometer, first used for the 2010 general election. An online version of the swingometer, featuring Labour and the Conservatives only, was introduced on the BBC News website at the 2001 general election. In 2005 the online swingometer was substantially re-designed to include versions featuring the Liberal Democrats, plus ...
This general election was the first in which photo identification was required to vote in person in Great Britain, [c] the first fought using the new constituency boundaries implemented following the 2023 review of Westminster constituencies, and the first called under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. [12]
The dates of these opinion polls range from the previous general election on 4 July 2024 to the present. The next general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. The Act mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is ...
WASHINGTON - Allan Lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has made his guess on who will reclaim the White House this ...