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Unadjusted claims dropped 34,967 to 210,166 last week amid a plunge of 9,777 in filings in California and a tumble of 6,383 in Texas. ... The unemployment rate is forecast to rise to 4.2% from 4.1 ...
The statewide unemployment rate went up a notch to 5.3% in August (from 5.2% in July), tied with Illinois for the second highest behind Nevada’s 5.5% rate, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics said.
It lowered the state’s unemployment rate to 5.2% from 5.3%, which was the highest in the nation. The added jobs accounted for 16.1% of the country’s gains while California has an 11% labor ...
Okun's law is an empirical relationship. In Okun's original statement of his law, a 2% increase in output corresponds to a 1% decline in the rate of cyclical unemployment; a 0.5% increase in labor force participation; a 0.5% increase in hours worked per employee; and a 1% increase in output per hours worked (labor productivity).
"Demand-pull inflation" refers to the effects of falling unemployment rates (rising real gross domestic product) in the Phillips curve model, while the other two factors lead to shifts in the Phillips curve. The built-in inflation originates from either persistent demand-pull or large cost-push (supply-shock) inflation in the past.
In California, for instance, the state unemployment rate hit 5.3% in February, up 0.8% from a year ago and the highest in the nation. New Jersey's unemployment rate hit 4.8% in February, also up 0.8%.
Robert Eisner suggested that for 1956-95 there was a zone from about 5% to about 10% unemployment between the low-unemployment realm of accelerating inflation and the high-unemployment realm of disinflation. In between, he found that inflation falls with falling unemployment.
A surprising rise in the U.S. unemployment rate last month has rattled financial markets and set off new worries about the threat of a recession — but it could also prove to be a false alarm.