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  2. Maximum a posteriori estimation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maximum_a_posteriori...

    The MAP can be used to obtain a point estimate of an unobserved quantity on the basis of empirical data. It is closely related to the method of maximum likelihood (ML) estimation, but employs an augmented optimization objective which incorporates a prior density over the quantity one wants to estimate.

  3. Posterior probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Posterior_probability

    In the context of Bayesian statistics, the posterior probability distribution usually describes the epistemic uncertainty about statistical parameters conditional on a collection of observed data. From a given posterior distribution, various point and interval estimates can be derived, such as the maximum a posteriori (MAP) or the highest ...

  4. Laplace's approximation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laplace's_approximation

    where ^ is the location of a mode of the joint target density, also known as the maximum a posteriori or MAP point and is the positive definite matrix of second derivatives of the negative log joint target density at the mode = ^. Thus, the Gaussian approximation matches the value and the log-curvature of the un-normalised target density at the ...

  5. Bayesian statistics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_statistics

    The maximum a posteriori, which is the mode of the posterior and is often computed in Bayesian statistics using mathematical optimization methods, remains the same. The posterior can be approximated even without computing the exact value of P ( B ) {\displaystyle P(B)} with methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo or variational Bayesian methods .

  6. Expectation–maximization algorithm - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expectation–maximization...

    In statistics, an expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative method to find (local) maximum likelihood or maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimates of parameters in statistical models, where the model depends on unobserved latent variables. [1]

  7. Bayes estimator - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes_estimator

    In estimation theory and decision theory, a Bayes estimator or a Bayes action is an estimator or decision rule that minimizes the posterior expected value of a loss function (i.e., the posterior expected loss).

  8. Bayesian experimental design - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_experimental_design

    In numerous publications on Bayesian experimental design, it is (often implicitly) assumed that all posterior probabilities will be approximately normal. This allows for the expected utility to be calculated using linear theory, averaging over the space of model parameters. [2]

  9. Viterbi algorithm - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viterbi_algorithm

    The Viterbi algorithm is a dynamic programming algorithm for obtaining the maximum a posteriori probability estimate of the most likely sequence of hidden states—called the Viterbi path—that results in a sequence of observed events.