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Congressional stagnation is an American political theory that attempts to explain the high rate of incumbency re-election to the United States House of Representatives. In recent years this rate has been well over 90 per cent, with rarely more than 5–10 incumbents losing their House seats every election cycle. [1]
The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections was held on November 5, 2024, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. The six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories will also be elected.
These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.
In the House, 44 incumbents are not seeking re-election this year. Between 1930 and 2022 , there was an average of 33.28 House retirements each election year. Looking at all representatives who ...
Luetkemeyer, 71, was elected to Congress in 2009 and represents Missouri’s 3 rd Congressional District, which includes areas to the north, south and west of St. Louis. The area is considered ...
Incumbent representatives often win renomination, although there are some instances of incumbents who lose to a primary challenge. In cases of redistricting, incumbents may run against each other in the same district.
NJ congressional races. Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr., the son of the former governor, is being challenged by Democrat Sue Altman in the 7th District, a race that has drawn national attention ...
A high correlation between election and incumbency has been demonstrated in congressional races. The success rate of incumbent members of the U.S. House of Representatives seeking re-election averaged 93.5 percent during the 1960s and 1970s. [1] Statistically, the initial edge for the incumbent candidate is 2-4 percent of the vote. [2]