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The UN Population Division report of 2022 projects world population to continue growing after 2050, although at a steadily decreasing rate, to peak at 10.4 billion in 2086, and then to start a slow decline to about 10.3 billion in 2100 with a growth rate at that time of -0.1%.
Estimates of population evolution in different continents between 1950 and 2050 according to the United Nations. The vertical axis is logarithmic and is in millions of people. (2011) World population growth rates between 1950 and 2050. The world population growth rate peaked in 1963 at 2.2% per year and subsequently declined. [9]
Population estimates for world regions based on Maddison (2007), [29] in millions. The row showing total world population includes the average growth rate per year over the period separating each column from the preceding one.
Thus, the figures after the 1960 column show the percentage annual growth for the 1955-60 period; the figures after the 1980 column calculate the same value for 1975–80; and so on. The formulas used for the annual growth rates are the standard ones, used both by the United Nations Statistics Division and by National Census Offices worldwide.
As an example, Canada's net population growth was 2.7 percent in the year 2022, dividing 72 by 2.7 gives an approximate doubling time of about 27 years. Thus if that growth rate were to remain constant, Canada's population would double from its 2023 figure of about 39 million to about 78 million by 2050. [2]
The estimates also mark a stark contrast to the record low growth rate of 0.2% in 2021, a time when countries were restricting travel because of COVID-19, the U.S. Census Bureau said.
The population growth rate estimates (according to the United Nations Population Prospects 2019) between 2015 and 2020 [6] The 20 countries in the world in which the population has declined between 2010 and 2015
In the study of age-structured population growth, probably one of the most important equations is the Euler–Lotka equation.Based on the age demographic of females in the population and female births (since in many cases it is the females that are more limited in the ability to reproduce), this equation allows for an estimation of how a population is growing.