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Corn futures prices that approached $6.30 a bushel in June have since tumbled to $4.10, after U.S. farmers ultimately produced record crop yields. "I wish I sold a lot more," Henebry said.
The Refinitiv Equal Weight Commodity Index (formerly known as the Continuous Commodity Index) is a major US barometer of commodity prices. The index comprises 17 commodity futures that are continuously rebalanced: cocoa, coffee, copper, corn, cotton, crude oil, gold, heating oil, live cattle, live hogs, natural gas, orange juice, platinum, silver, soybeans, Sugar No. 11, and wheat.
FTSE/CoreCommodity CRB Index 1993–2012. The FTSE/CoreCommodity CRB Index (FTSE/CC CRB) is a commodity futures price index.It was first calculated by Commodity Research Bureau, Inc. in 1957 and made its inaugural appearance in the 1958 CRB Commodity Year Book.
The Minneapolis Grain Exchange (MGEX) is a commodities and futures exchange of grain products. It was formed in 1881 in Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States as a regional cash marketplace to promote fair trade and to prevent trade abuses in wheat, oats and corn.
Predecessor publications date back to the 19th century. In 1893, the USDA Division of Statistics published Production and distribution of the principal agricultural products of the world, a miscellaneous report representing several months of work in compiling the first overview of production of major crops around the world. [7]
The Consensus forecast for euro-area producer price inflation significantly outperforms the naïve forecast in the short-term. Finally, the Consensus forecast for the USD/EUR exchange rate during the period from 2002 to 2009 is more precise than the naïve forecast and the forecast implied by the forward rate."
This means the expected spot price on expiry is higher than the price of the futures contract. Backwardation very seldom arises in money commodities like gold or silver. In the early 1980s, there was a one-day backwardation in silver while some metal was physically moved from COMEX to CBOT warehouses.
Otherwise, the difference between the forward price on the futures (futures price) and the forward price on the asset, is proportional to the covariance between the underlying asset price and interest rates. For example, a futures contract on a zero-coupon bond will have a futures price lower than the forward price.
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