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The indicator is trend-following, and based on averages, so by its nature it doesn't pick a market bottom, but rather shows when a rally has become established. Coppock designed the indicator (originally called the "Trendex Model" [1]) for the S&P 500 index, and it has been applied to similar stock indexes like the Dow Jones Industrial Average ...
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That means this stock market indicator has been accurate 92% of the time. Second, the S&P 500 has returned a median of 8% during Q4 following a double-digit gain in the first three quarters.
Those qualities make the S&P 500 an excellent benchmark for the overall U.S. stock market. The chart below lists the years in which the S&P 500 returned at least 10% during the first 100 trading days.
If the market is directionless (undecided), prices may fluctuate greatly around this level until a price breakout develops. Trading above or below the pivot point indicates the overall market sentiment. It is a leading indicator providing advanced signaling of potentially new market highs or lows within a given time frame. [5]