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MORE: How 538's 2024 Senate election forecast works. Here are five Senate races to watch Tuesday that will help determine Senate control and the sliver of races where Democrats are on offense.
On September 3, 2014, FiveThirtyEight introduced its forecasts for each of the 36 U.S. Senate elections being contested that year. [538 69] At that time, the Republican Party was given a 64 percent chance of holding a majority of the seats in the Senate after the election. However, Silver also remarked, "An equally important theme is the high ...
As the votes begin to roll in, these interactive maps and graphics break down the results and balance of power for the Senate race. Interactive maps show nationwide look at 2024 Senate race Skip ...
During the 2024 election cycle, the group correctly forecasted 513 out of 525 federal elections correctly using their quantitative models, missing 3 out of 56 calls at the presidential level, 8 out of 435 in the House of Representatives, and 1 out of 34 races in the Senate elections, for a 98% accuracy rating overall.
The New York Times "FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver's Political Calculus" commenced on August 25, 2010, with the publication of "New Forecast Shows Democrats Losing 6 to 7 Senate Seats". [51] From that date the blog focused almost exclusively on forecasting the outcomes of the 2010 U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives elections as well as ...
The Democratic Party holds a narrow majority in the U.S. Senate, but 34 out of 100 seats are up for election on Nov. 5, which may result in a power shift.. Seats in eight of the most competitive ...
Even ahead of Tuesday, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report said that the district was a "toss-up," and 538's forecast had it listed as "likely Democrat." Nov 7, 2:19 PM Gonzalez ekes out win in ...
270toWin is an American political website that projects who will win United States presidential, House of Representatives, Senate, and gubernatorial elections and allows users to create their electoral maps. [3] It also tracks the results of United States presidential elections by state throughout the country's history.