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The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. [1]
Looking at 538’s forecast, the most likely tipping-point state across all scenarios for the 2024 election is Pennsylvania. In 18 out of 100 cases, the Keystone State provides the winning ...
The polls and odds are constantly in flux, but you can find the latest polls we could find for each candidate as of 6 a.m. on Nov. 5, 2024: ABC News project 538 : The final poll shows Harris with ...
The polls and odds are constantly fluctuating, but you can find the latest polls we could find for each candidate as of 9:30 a.m. on Nov. 4, 2024: ABC News project 538 : This poll currently shows ...
For his general election projections for each state, in addition to relying on the available polls in a given state and "similar states", Silver estimated a "538 regression" using historical voting information along with demographic characteristics of the states to create an estimate that he treated as a separate poll (equivalent to the ...
Swing state polls show the race is a tossup. See the latest presidential election polls. ... USA TODAY/Suffolk: Trump 49%, Harris 49% (Oct. 27-30; 500 likely voters; ...
Here is how national polls and odds compare to swing state - Pennsylvania right now. ... Most states consistently ... ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls with 48.4% to ...
Election Day is here as ballots are being cast and counted. But all eyes are on the swing states — especially Pennsylvania. Most states have consistently voted blue or red, like the 38 states ...