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On December 10, 2024, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) released its extended range forecast for the 2025 season, predicting an average season with fifteen named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes, but noted that the forecast had higher than normal uncertainty due to environmental factors.
On May 22, UKMO published their forecast for the 2024 season, calling for 22 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes, and an ACE index of 212 units. [15] One day later, NOAA published their hurricane season prediction, forecasting an above-average season of 17–25 named storms, 8–13 hurricanes, and 4–7 major hurricanes with an ...
In the Turks and Caicos Islands, the storm produced over 10 in (250 mm) of precipitation on various islands. The international airport on Providenciales briefly closed due to flooding, where one drowning death occurred. [50] Portions of North Caicos were inundated with up to 5 ft (1.5 m) of water. [55]
In southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands, a tropical storm watch was posted at 15:00 UTC on August 30. Around 09:00 UTC the next day, the tropical storm watch was upgraded to a tropical storm warning in the Turks and Caicos Islands; six hours later, the watch was also increased in the southeastern Bahamas.
On June 2, CSU updated their extended-range seasonal forecast, increasing the amount of tropical cyclones to 20 named storms, 10 hurricanes, 5 major hurricanes, and an overall ACE index of 180 units. This was done after a later analysis of the lower chances of an El Niño during the season, as well as a warmer-than-average tropical Atlantic. [ 18 ]
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Although forecast to intensify to 65 mph (105 km/h) winds, the storm weakened due to the wind shear. [117] The center passed near the Turks and Caicos Islands on October 11, [107] and winds reached only 31 mph (50 km/h) at Grand Turk Island. [116]
On December 11, a station in the Turks and Caicos Islands recorded sustained winds of 36 mph (58 km/h). [32] While still moving through the western Caribbean sea, heavy rains fell along a trough in its northeast quadrant beginning on December 14, with a total of 7.08 inches/179.8 mm falling at Nettles Island, Florida.