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  2. Wall Street’s predictions for the market and economy in 2025

    www.aol.com/finance/wall-street-predictions...

    Fears of a recession or an unsustainably top-heavy S&P 500 seem to be in the rearview mirror. JPMorgan estimates a roughly 10% increase in the S&P 500 for 2025, according to an analyst forecast ...

  3. US 2025 Recession Odds Plummet: Good News Or Warning Sign? - AOL

    www.aol.com/us-2025-recession-odds-plummet...

    In June 2023, the New York Fed’s model — which calculates recession probabilities based on the yield spread between 10-year Treasury bonds and three-month bills — estimated a 70% chance of a ...

  4. Is a Recession Coming in 2025? There's Good and Bad News. - AOL

    www.aol.com/recession-coming-2025-theres-good...

    The probability of a recession by the end of 2025 currently sits at 45%, according to the report. However, keep in mind that these predictions aren't always accurate.

  5. Jobs report shows a hiring slowdown as companies are acting ...

    www.aol.com/wildfires-snow-holiday-shopping...

    The US economy kicked off 2025 by adding 143,000 jobs in January, fewer than expected; but the unemployment rate dipped to 4%, according to data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

  6. December jobs report has Wall Street starting to talk about ...

    www.aol.com/finance/december-jobs-reports-wall...

    A hot December jobs report, combined with a murky inflation outlook for 2025, ... but it has cooled to 'just right' at 4.1% in December," Wells Fargo senior economist Sarah House wrote in a note ...

  7. 2 under-the-radar recession signals are flashing red this ...

    www.aol.com/2-under-radar-recession-signals...

    The number of people working part time but saying they would rather work full time is rising. The labor differential between those who think jobs are plentiful versus hard to get is narrowing.

  8. We've Avoided a Recession in 2024. What's in Store for 2025?

    www.aol.com/weve-avoided-recession-2024-whats...

    Things might change (for the worse) in 2025, though. The Federal Reserve puts the probability of a recession in the next 12 months at 42%. That's not an overwhelmingly high percentage, but it's ...

  9. 5 Predictions for the Stock Market in 2025 -- and Which ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/5-predictions-stock-market-2025...

    Nearly one year ago, I made four predictions about the stock market in 2024. The Fed indeed cut rates in Q4, but stocks didn't jump as much as I anticipated. Here are my five predictions for the ...

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