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Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
The poll comes off the back of a shock new survey which found Harris is ahead in Iowa — a state Trump easily won in both 2016 and 2020 New poll spells hope for Harris as she leads Trump in four ...
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
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The NBC News poll also showed Biden, Harris and Trump with almost equal positive-negative scores with the electorate. Trump: 38% positive, 53% negative (-15 net rating) Biden: 36% positive, 53% ...
In the snap poll, 55 percent of voters said Trump would handle the economy better than Harris, while 35 percent said the reverse – a 20 point margin slightly wider than prior to the debate.
The concept of tipping-point states was popularized by Nate Silver. "Tipping-point state" is used to analyze the median state of a United States presidential election.In a list of states ordered by decreasing margin of victory for the winning candidate, the tipping point state is the first state where the combined electoral votes of all states up to that point in the list give the winning ...
The poll found that Trump equaled his 2020 vote percentage in the head-to-head race in every state except Georgia, while Harris meets or exceeds Biden’s 2020 vote share across the states.