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While a monkey is used as a mechanism for the thought experiment, it would be unlikely to ever write Hamlet, according to researchers.. The infinite monkey theorem states that a monkey hitting keys at random on a typewriter keyboard for an infinite amount of time will almost surely type any given text, including the complete works of William Shakespeare.
The law of truly large numbers (a statistical adage), attributed to Persi Diaconis and Frederick Mosteller, states that with a large enough number of independent samples, any highly implausible (i.e. unlikely in any single sample, but with constant probability strictly greater than 0 in any sample) result is likely to be observed. [1]
One might also say that an unlikely event will happen "on the 32nd of the month". To express indefinite postponement, you might say that an event is deferred "to the [Greek] Calends" (see Latin). A less common expression used to point out someone's wishful thinking is Αν η γιαγιά μου είχε καρούλια, θα ήταν ...
According to Taleb, thinkers who came before him who dealt with the notion of the improbable (such as Hume, Mill, and Popper) focused on the problem of induction in logic, specifically, that of drawing general conclusions from specific observations. [16] The central and unique attribute of Taleb's black swan event is that it is high-impact.
The Beatles vs the Stones. Marvel vs DC. Star Wars vs Star Trek.Rocky vs Creed. Android vs iOS. Yes, the battle of the two best smartphone operating systems is up there among the most famous ...
An Extremely Improbable failure condition is one so unlikely that it is not anticipated to occur during the entire operational life of all airplanes of one type. Quantitatively, these probability terms are define as follows: Extremely Improbable (10 −9 or less), Extremely Remote (10 −7 or less), Remote (10 −5 or less), Probable (more than ...
Improbable may refer to: Improbable (company), a British company founded in 2012; Improbable (novel), a 2005 science fiction thriller novel by Adam Fawer; Improbable (The X-Files), an episode in the ninth season of the science fiction television series; Improbable (horse), a racehorse; Improbable (theatre company), an English theatre company
Thus, the black swan is an oft cited reference in philosophical discussions of the improbable. Aristotle's "Prior Analytics" is the most likely original reference that makes use of example syllogisms involving the predicates "white", "black", and "swan." More specifically, Aristotle uses the white swan as an example of necessary relations and ...