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In null-hypothesis significance testing, the p-value [note 1] is the probability of obtaining test results at least as extreme as the result actually observed, under the assumption that the null hypothesis is correct. [2] [3] A very small p-value means that such an extreme observed outcome would be very unlikely under the null hypothesis.
An important property of a test statistic is that its sampling distribution under the null hypothesis must be calculable, either exactly or approximately, which allows p-values to be calculated. A test statistic shares some of the same qualities of a descriptive statistic, and many statistics can be used as both test statistics and descriptive ...
where p i is the p-value for the i th hypothesis test. When the p-values tend to be small, the test statistic X 2 will be large, which suggests that the null hypotheses are not true for every test. When all the null hypotheses are true, and the p i (or their corresponding test statistics) are independent, X 2 has a chi-squared distribution with ...
The positive predictive value (PPV), or precision, is defined as = + = where a "true positive" is the event that the test makes a positive prediction, and the subject has a positive result under the gold standard, and a "false positive" is the event that the test makes a positive prediction, and the subject has a negative result under the gold standard.
Fisher's exact test (also Fisher-Irwin test) is a statistical significance test used in the analysis of contingency tables. [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 3 ] Although in practice it is employed when sample sizes are small, it is valid for all sample sizes.
Illustration of the power of a statistical test, for a two sided test, through the probability distribution of the test statistic under the null and alternative hypothesis. α is shown as the blue area, the probability of rejection under null, while the red area shows power, 1 − β, the probability of correctly rejecting under the alternative.
To determine whether a result is statistically significant, a researcher calculates a p-value, which is the probability of observing an effect of the same magnitude or more extreme given that the null hypothesis is true. [5] [12] The null hypothesis is rejected if the p-value is less than (or equal to) a predetermined level, .
The p-value is the probability that a test statistic which is at least as extreme as the one obtained would occur under the null hypothesis. At a significance level of 0.05, a fair coin would be expected to (incorrectly) reject the null hypothesis (that it is fair) in 1 out of 20 tests on average.