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  2. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

    Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [2]

  3. Rasmussen Reports - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rasmussen_Reports

    www.rasmussenreports.com. Rasmussen Reports / ˈræsˌmʌsən / [4] is an American polling company founded in 2003. [5][6] The company engages in political commentary and the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. Rasmussen Reports conducts nightly tracking, at national and state levels, of elections ...

  4. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    March 7, 2008; 16 years ago (2008-03-07) [1] Current status. Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website ...

  5. Forget polls, the stock market is the most accurate predictor ...

    www.aol.com/finance/forget-polls-stock-market...

    Harris now has a slight edge in many national polls. The New York Times has Harris ahead, with 49% odds compared with Trump’s 47%, while Project FiveThirtyEight and ABC give the vice president a ...

  6. Nate Silver says FiveThirtyEight suspended its forecasts to ...

    www.aol.com/nate-silver-says-fivethirtyeight...

    A note on the FiveThirtyEight website says: “As of July 21 at 2 p.m. Eastern, President Joe Biden has suspended his campaign for the 2024 Democratic Party nomination for president.

  7. Opinion - Harris is up but Trump might be stronger behind the ...

    www.aol.com/opinion-harris-trump-might-stronger...

    TIPP Insight’s September tracking poll shows that, while Harris has a 3-point lead in a head-to-head matchup (48 percent to 45 percent), Trump may be in a stronger position than those topline ...

  8. The Keys to the White House - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

    The Keys to the White House. The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.

  9. United States presidential approval rating - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential...

    United States presidential approval rating. In the United States, presidential job approval ratings were first conducted by George Gallup (estimated to be 1937) to gauge public support for the president of the United States during their term. An approval rating is a percentage determined by polling which indicates the percentage of respondents ...