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  2. Feller's coin-tossing constants - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feller's_coin-tossing...

    The exact probability p(n,2) can be calculated either by using Fibonacci numbers, p(n,2) = + or by solving a direct recurrence relation leading to the same result. For higher values of k {\displaystyle k} , the constants are related to generalizations of Fibonacci numbers such as the tribonacci and tetranacci numbers.

  3. Checking whether a coin is fair - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checking_whether_a_coin_is...

    (Note: r is the probability of obtaining heads when tossing the same coin once.) Plot of the probability density f(r | H = 7, T = 3) = 1320 r 7 (1 − r) 3 with r ranging from 0 to 1. The probability for an unbiased coin (defined for this purpose as one whose probability of coming down heads is somewhere between 45% and 55%)

  4. St. Petersburg paradox - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Petersburg_paradox

    Consequently, to understand whether a strategy operates cognitively or randomly, we need only calculate the probability of obtaining an equal or better outcome at random. In the case of the St. Petersburg paradox, the doubling strategy was compared with a constant bet strategy that was completely random but equivalent in terms of the total ...

  5. Coin flipping - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coin_flipping

    In studying coin flipping, to observe the rotation speed of coin flips, Diaconis first used a strobe light and a coin with one side painted black, the other white, so that when the speed of the strobe flash equaled the rotation rate of the coin, it would appear to always show the same side. This proved difficult to use, and rotation rate was ...

  6. Likelihood function - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Likelihood_function

    Consider a simple statistical model of a coin flip: a single parameter that expresses the "fairness" of the coin. The parameter is the probability that a coin lands heads up ("H") when tossed. can take on any value within the range 0.0 to 1.0. For a perfectly fair coin, =. Imagine flipping a fair coin twice, and observing two heads in two ...

  7. Probabilistic Turing machine - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilistic_Turing_machine

    A probabilistic Turing machine is a type of nondeterministic Turing machine in which each nondeterministic step is a "coin-flip", that is, at each step there are two possible next moves and the Turing machine probabilistically selects which move to take. [1]

  8. Why the Farmer’s Almanac Is About as Accurate as a Coin Flip

    www.aol.com/why-farmer-almanac-accurate-game...

    The Farmer’s Almanac is predicting a cold and snowy winter again for 2022. But it’s the equivalent of throwing a dart at a board full of meteorology terms.

  9. Bernoulli process - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernoulli_process

    For example, if x represents a sequence of coin flips, then the associated Bernoulli sequence is the list of natural numbers or time-points for which the coin toss outcome is heads. So defined, a Bernoulli sequence Z x {\displaystyle \mathbb {Z} ^{x}} is also a random subset of the index set, the natural numbers N {\displaystyle \mathbb {N} } .