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The USGS issued a fact sheet in 2009 stating the estimate of a 7–10% chance of a New Madrid earthquake of magnitude comparable to one of the 1811–12 quakes within the next 50 years, and a 25–40% chance of a magnitude 6 earthquake in the same time frame. [32] In July 2014, the USGS increased the risk assessment for the New Madrid area. [33]
Locations of quakes magnitude 2.5 or greater in the Wabash Valley (upper right) and New Madrid (lower left) Seismic Zones. The Wabash Valley seismic zone (also known as the Wabash Valley fault system or fault zone) is a tectonic region located in the Midwestern United States, centered on the valley of the lower Wabash River, along the state line between southeastern Illinois and southwestern ...
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Pressure on the fault where the 1811–1812 New Madrid earthquakes occurred was believed to be increasing, [23] but a later study by Eric Calais of Purdue University and other experts concluded the land adjacent to the New Madrid fault was moving less than 0.2 mm (0.0079 in) a year, increasing the span between expected earthquakes on the fault ...
A number of products from it and its subdivisions that relay information to the public over the Internet were displayed during the event. An automated system from the National Earthquake Information Center, for example, sent an initial notification containing magnitude, depth, and location within two and a half minutes of the mainshock. [4]
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New Madrid fault and earthquake-prone region considered at high risk today. The 1811–1812 New Madrid earthquakes were a series of intense intraplate earthquakes beginning with an initial earthquake of moment magnitude 7.2–8.2 on December 16, 1811, followed by a moment magnitude 7.4 aftershock on the same day.