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When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since July 2016, we use Cook Political Report ratings to estimate where the race stands. We run the simulations out to Election Day, Nov. 8. Since we don’t have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories.
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college . [ 1 ] [ 2 ] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton , but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts.
The 2016 election was the fifth and most recent presidential election in which the winning candidate lost the popular vote. [ 2 ] [ 4 ] Six states plus a portion of Maine that Obama won in 2012 switched to Trump (Electoral College votes in parentheses): Florida (29), Pennsylvania (20), Ohio (18), Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10), Iowa (6), and ...
The only time, other than in 2016, that bettors have missed was in in 1948, when Harry Truman (D) beat eight-to-one odds to defeat Thomas Dewey (R). Election Day is days away.
Chart of Democratic-candidate lead over Republican candidate in final poll and results by year, 1936 to 2016. Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections.
This year's presidential race is heated and ongoing polls reflect the division of opinions on who should become the nation's next commander-in-chief.. Here is what the polls, odds and a historian ...
Presidential polls in Florida. Both Clinton and Trump are campaigning hard in the crucial Sunshine State. A RealClearPolitics average of state polls, as of Oct. 11, gives Clinton a 2.7-point edge ...
Election 2016 Presidential Primaries See which candidates lead the pack for their party’s nomination, look up election dates and watch live updates on election nights.