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  2. False positives and false negatives - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_positives_and_false...

    The false positive rate (FPR) is the proportion of all negatives that still yield positive test outcomes, i.e., the conditional probability of a positive test result given an event that was not present. The false positive rate is equal to the significance level. The specificity of the test is equal to 1 minus the false positive rate.

  3. Type I and type II errors - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_I_and_type_II_errors

    One consequence of the high false positive rate in the US is that, in any 10-year period, half of the American women screened receive a false positive mammogram. False positive mammograms are costly, with over $100 million spent annually in the U.S. on follow-up testing and treatment. They also cause women unneeded anxiety. As a result of the ...

  4. Positive and negative predictive values - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Positive_and_negative...

    The positive predictive value (PPV), or precision, is defined as = + = where a "true positive" is the event that the test makes a positive prediction, and the subject has a positive result under the gold standard, and a "false positive" is the event that the test makes a positive prediction, and the subject has a negative result under the gold standard.

  5. What Really Causes a False Positive COVID-19 Test? Experts ...

    www.aol.com/false-positive-covid-19-test...

    “True” and “false” refer to the accuracy of the test, while “positive” and “negative” refer to the outcome you receive, says Geoffrey Baird, M.D., Ph.D., professor and chair of the ...

  6. Sensitivity and specificity - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sensitivity_and_specificity

    The true positive in this figure is 6, and false negatives of 0 (because all positive condition is correctly predicted as positive). Therefore, the sensitivity is 100% (from 6 / (6 + 0) ). This situation is also illustrated in the previous figure where the dotted line is at position A (the left-hand side is predicted as negative by the model ...

  7. False positive rate - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_positive_rate

    The false positive rate is calculated as the ratio between the number of negative events wrongly categorized as positive (false positives) and the total number of actual negative events (regardless of classification). The false positive rate (or "false alarm rate") usually refers to the expectancy of the false positive ratio.

  8. Why Most Published Research Findings Are False - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Why_Most_Published...

    While the general arguments in the paper recommending reforms in scientific research methodology were well-received, Ionnidis received criticism for the validity of his model and his claim that the majority of scientific findings are false. Responses to the paper suggest lower false positive and false negative rates than what Ionnidis puts forth.

  9. Base rate fallacy - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate_fallacy

    The test has a false positive rate of 5% (0.05) and a false negative rate of zero. The expected outcome of the 1,000 tests on population A would be: Infected and test indicates disease (true positive) 1000 × ⁠ 40 / 100 ⁠ = 400 people would receive a true positive Uninfected and test indicates disease (false positive)