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  2. Autoregressive integrated moving average - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_integrated...

    Specifically, for a wide-sense stationary time series, the mean and the variance/autocovariance are constant over time. Differencing in statistics is a transformation applied to a non-stationary time-series in order to make it stationary in the mean sense (that is, to remove the non-constant trend), but it does not affect the non-stationarity ...

  3. Time series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_series

    Forecasting on time series is usually done using automated statistical software packages and programming languages, such as Julia, Python, R, SAS, SPSS and many others. Forecasting on large scale data can be done with Apache Spark using the Spark-TS library, a third-party package.

  4. Moving-average model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moving-average_model

    In time series analysis, the moving-average model (MA model), also known as moving-average process, is a common approach for modeling univariate time series. [1] [2] The moving-average model specifies that the output variable is cross-correlated with a non-identical to itself random-variable.

  5. Bayesian structural time series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/.../Bayesian_structural_time_series

    Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model is a statistical technique used for feature selection, time series forecasting, nowcasting, inferring causal impact and other applications. The model is designed to work with time series data. The model has also promising application in the field of analytical marketing. In particular, it can be used ...

  6. Group method of data handling - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Group_method_of_data_handling

    It became clear that full physical models cannot be used for long-term forecasting. It was proved, that non-physical models of GMDH are more accurate for approximation and forecast than physical models of regression analysis. Two-level algorithms which use two different time scales for modeling were developed.

  7. Autoregressive model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_model

    Together with the moving-average (MA) model, it is a special case and key component of the more general autoregressive–moving-average (ARMA) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models of time series, which have a more complicated stochastic structure; it is also a special case of the vector autoregressive model (VAR), which ...

  8. Makridakis Competitions - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Makridakis_Competitions

    The time series included yearly, quarterly, monthly, daily, and other time series. In order to ensure that enough data was available to develop an accurate forecasting model, minimum thresholds were set for the number of observations: 14 for yearly series, 16 for quarterly series, 48 for monthly series, and 60 for other series. [1]

  9. Mean absolute scaled error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mean_absolute_scaled_error

    The main difference with the method for non-seasonal time series, ... compare forecast methods on a single series and also to compare forecast accuracy between series.

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