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Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race.
Overall, the survey finds that fewer than half of Americans – 44% — have “a great deal” or “quite a bit” of confidence that the votes in the next presidential election will be counted ...
Congressional election 2024 live ... "Trump has historically outperformed polling in both 2016 and 2020 due to his ability to get low propensity voters to show up and win the voters on the fence ...
A paper from the MIT Election Lab showed that in 2020, 10.8% of the total official vote was “overtime vote” – tallied beyond what was reported in the morning edition of The New York Times on ...
The American National Election Studies (ANES) are academically-run national surveys of voters in the United States, conducted before and after every presidential election. Although it was formally established by a National Science Foundation grant in 1977, the data are a continuation of studies going back to 1948. [ 1 ]
In the lead up to the 2024 election, the Republican Party made false claims of massive "noncitizen voting" by immigrants in an attempt to delegitimize the election in the event of a Trump defeat. [62] [63] [64] The claims were made as part of larger Republican Party efforts to disrupt the 2024 election and election denial movement. [65]
Echoing other polls, the new survey found that jobs and the economy continue to motivate voters, with 41.4% saying it's the top issue in the election. Nearly 20% said immigration is the top issue ...
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