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Fed Chair Jerome Powell is taking questions from journalists after the central bank held interest rates steady following three consecutive cuts at the end of 2024.
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The Fed cut rates by half a point in September, marking the central bank’s first rate-reduction during a 2 1/2 year battle against inflation in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic.
A short-term interest rate (STIR) future is a futures contract that derives its value from the interest rate at maturation. Common short-term interest rate futures are Eurodollar, Euribor, Euroyen, Short Sterling and Euroswiss, which are calculated on LIBOR at settlement, with the exception of Euribor which is based on Euribor and Euroyen which is based on TIBOR.
It is an interest rate the Fed pays to banks for holding their funds at the Federal Reserve Bank. Because this offers a risk-free way to earn interest on their funds, banks do not tend to lend to each other at rates below the IORB, effectively setting a floor for the federal funds rate. [8]
Today, CME is the largest options and futures contracts open interest (number of contracts outstanding) exchange of any futures exchange in the world. The Merc trades several types of financial instruments: interest rates, equities, currencies, and commodities.
We define the forward price to be the strike K such that the contract has 0 value at the present time. Assuming interest rates are constant the forward price of the futures is equal to the forward price of the forward contract with the same strike and maturity. It is also the same if the underlying asset is uncorrelated with interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool, which measures market expectations for Fed fund rate changes, projects a 65% chance that the Fed will cut rates to a range of 4.75% to 5.00%, with a 35% chance the Fed will ...