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  2. Type I and type II errors - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_I_and_type_II_errors

    In addition, we suppose that the measurements X 1, X 2, X 3 are modeled as normal distribution N(μ,2). Then, T should follow N(μ,2/) and the parameter μ represents the true speed of passing vehicle. In this experiment, the null hypothesis H 0 and the alternative hypothesis H 1 should be H 0: μ=120 against H 1: μ>120.

  3. False positives and false negatives - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_positives_and_false...

    In statistical hypothesis testing, this fraction is given the Greek letter α, and 1 − α is defined as the specificity of the test. Increasing the specificity of the test lowers the probability of type I errors, but may raise the probability of type II errors (false negatives that reject the alternative hypothesis when it is true). [a]

  4. Multiple comparisons problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiple_comparisons_problem

    The following table defines the possible outcomes when testing multiple null hypotheses. Suppose we have a number m of null hypotheses, denoted by: H 1, H 2, ..., H m. Using a statistical test, we reject the null hypothesis if the test is declared significant. We do not reject the null hypothesis if the test is non-significant.

  5. Lindley's paradox - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindley's_paradox

    Naaman [3] proposed an adaption of the significance level to the sample size in order to control false positives: α n, such that α n = n − r with r > 1/2. At least in the numerical example, taking r = 1/2, results in a significance level of 0.00318, so the frequentist would not reject the null hypothesis, which is in agreement with the ...

  6. Correlation does not imply causation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation_does_not_imply...

    The above example commits the correlation-implies-causation fallacy, as it prematurely concludes that sleeping with one's shoes on causes headache. A more plausible explanation is that both are caused by a third factor, in this case going to bed drunk, which thereby gives rise to a correlation. So the conclusion is false. Example 2

  7. Hypothetico-deductive model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypothetico-deductive_model

    One possible sequence in this model would be 1, 2, 3, 4.If the outcome of 4 holds, and 3 is not yet disproven, you may continue with 3, 4, 1, and so forth; but if the outcome of 4 shows 3 to be false, you will have to go back to 2 and try to invent a new 2, deduce a new 3, look for 4, and so forth.

  8. Statistical hypothesis test - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_hypothesis_test

    An example of Neyman–Pearson hypothesis testing (or null hypothesis statistical significance testing) can be made by a change to the radioactive suitcase example. If the "suitcase" is actually a shielded container for the transportation of radioactive material, then a test might be used to select among three hypotheses: no radioactive source ...

  9. Hypothesis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypothesis

    The hypothesis of Andreas Cellarius, showing the planetary motions in eccentric and epicyclical orbits. A hypothesis (pl.: hypotheses) is a proposed explanation for a phenomenon. A scientific hypothesis must be based on observations and make a testable and reproducible prediction about reality, in a process beginning with an educated guess or ...