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Typically when a mean is calculated it is important to know the variance and standard deviation about that mean. When a weighted mean is used, the variance of the weighted sample is different from the variance of the unweighted sample. The biased weighted sample variance ^ is defined similarly to the normal biased sample variance ^:
This algorithm can easily be adapted to compute the variance of a finite population: simply divide by n instead of n − 1 on the last line.. Because SumSq and (Sum×Sum)/n can be very similar numbers, cancellation can lead to the precision of the result to be much less than the inherent precision of the floating-point arithmetic used to perform the computation.
These values are used to calculate an E value for the estimate and a standard deviation (SD) as L-estimators, where: E = (a + 4m + b) / 6 SD = (b − a) / 6. E is a weighted average which takes into account both the most optimistic and most pessimistic estimates provided. SD measures the variability or uncertainty in the estimate.
The degree of freedom, =, equals the number of observations n minus the number of fitted parameters m. In weighted least squares , the definition is often written in matrix notation as χ ν 2 = r T W r ν , {\displaystyle \chi _{\nu }^{2}={\frac {r^{\mathrm {T} }Wr}{\nu }},} where r is the vector of residuals, and W is the weight matrix, the ...
Stock A over the past 20 years had an average return of 10 percent, with a standard deviation of 20 percentage points (pp) and Stock B, over the same period, had average returns of 12 percent but a higher standard deviation of 30 pp. On the basis of risk and return, an investor may decide that Stock A is the safer choice, because Stock B's ...
The mathematics of the distribution resulted from the authors' desire to make the standard deviation equal to about 1/6 of the range. [ 2 ] [ 3 ] The PERT distribution is widely used in risk analysis [ 4 ] to represent the uncertainty of the value of some quantity where one is relying on subjective estimates, because the three parameters ...
A conventional choice is to add noise with a standard deviation of / for a sample size n; this noise is often drawn from a Student-t distribution with n-1 degrees of freedom. [47] This results in an approximately-unbiased estimator for the variance of the sample mean. [ 48 ]
It is a measure used to evaluate the performance of regression or forecasting models. It is a variant of MAPE in which the mean absolute percent errors is treated as a weighted arithmetic mean. Most commonly the absolute percent errors are weighted by the actuals (e.g. in case of sales forecasting, errors are weighted by sales volume). [3]