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In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...
Silver’s model shows Trump has a 51.5% chance of clinching the Electoral College while Harris has a 48.1% chance, according to a Substack post on Sunday morning, Mediate reported.
ABC News is projecting that Harris will win New Mexico's five electoral votes. ABC News is also projecting the state's U.S. Senate race for the Democratic incumbent, Martin Heinrich. Nov 6, 12:20 AM
Several sites have created election forecast models to gauge how likely it is for either candidate to reach the 270 electoral college votes to win. Forecasts by 538 and Decision Desk HQ/The Hill ...
[538 41] [34] [35] The transition took place on August 25, 2010, with the publication of Silver's first FiveThirtyEight blog article online in The New York Times. [538 42] On June 3, 2010, The New York Times and Silver announced that FiveThirtyEight had formed a partnership under which the blog would be hosted by the Times for a period of three ...
The latest polls from the New York Times/Siena College have Harris ahead by 3 points, at 49 percent and Trump at 46 percent. The strongest support group for Harris remains young voters and those ...
Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 5, 2024. [a] The Republican Party's ticket—Donald Trump, who was the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and JD Vance, the junior U.S. senator from Ohio—defeated the Democratic Party's ticket—Kamala Harris, the incumbent vice president, and Tim Walz, the 41st governor of Minnesota.
The number of electoral votes, out of 538, allocated to each state and the District of Columbia for presidential elections held in 2024 and to be held in 2028 based on the 2020 census. Every jurisdiction is entitled to at least 3.