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The stock market can help predict the winner of the presidential election. Since 1928, the S&P 500 has had an 83% accuracy rate in predicting election outcomes.
In the week before the election, the S&P 500 fell about 1.37% while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite shed 1.5% despite hitting its first record close since June during the week.
Which presidential candidate will win the election? Most polls show a close race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump with only three days to go before Election Day.
Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 5, 2024. [3] The Republican Party's ticket—Donald Trump, who was the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and JD Vance, the junior U.S. senator from Ohio—defeated the Democratic Party's ticket—Kamala Harris, the incumbent vice president, and Tim Walz, the governor of Minnesota.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
The stock market is often seen as a key barometer for the economy. After all, major indexes like the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) , Nasdaq Composite , and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are ...
However, on Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction betting market, Harris and Trump are tied, with each having a 49% chance of being elected the next president of the United States.
A lot is going on next week. The U.S. Presidential Election is on Nov. 5 and the Federal Reserve kicks off its November meeting a day later, which will end on Nov. 7 potentially with another ...