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When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since July 2016, we use Cook Political Report ratings to estimate where the race stands. We run the simulations out to Election Day, Nov. 8. Since we don’t have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories.
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college . [ 1 ] [ 2 ] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton , but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts.
The 2016 election was the fifth and most recent presidential election in which the winning candidate lost the popular vote. [ 2 ] [ 4 ] Six states plus a portion of Maine that Obama won in 2012 switched to Trump (Electoral College votes in parentheses): Florida (29), Pennsylvania (20), Ohio (18), Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10), Iowa (6), and ...
Chart of Democratic-candidate lead over Republican candidate in final poll and results by year, 1936 to 2016. Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections.
The only time, other than in 2016, that bettors have missed was in in 1948, when Harry Truman (D) beat eight-to-one odds to defeat Thomas Dewey (R). Election Day is days away.
This year's presidential race is heated and ongoing polls reflect the division of opinions on who should become the nation's next commander-in-chief.. Here is what the polls, odds and a historian ...
Votes are being counted in the 2024 U.S. presidential election and some are looking to past races to get a sense of how the race could play out. The 2016 election was the first general election ...
Voters in each state decide how their state's electors will vote. Most states are winner-take-all: whoever wins in California earns all 55 of its electoral college votes.