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In time series analysis, the moving-average model (MA model), also known as moving-average process, is a common approach for modeling univariate time series. [ 1 ] [ 2 ] The moving-average model specifies that the output variable is cross-correlated with a non-identical to itself random-variable.
In statistics, a moving average (rolling average or running average or moving mean [1] or rolling mean) is a calculation to analyze data points by creating a series of averages of different selections of the full data set. Variations include: simple, cumulative, or weighted forms. Mathematically, a moving average is a type of convolution.
The notation ARMAX(p, q, b) refers to a model with p autoregressive terms, q moving average terms and b exogenous inputs terms. The last term is a linear combination of the last b terms of a known and external time series d t {\displaystyle d_{t}} .
The following is a Python implementation of BatchNorm for 2D convolutions: import numpy as np def batchnorm_cnn ( x , gamma , beta , epsilon = 1e-9 ): # Calculate the mean and variance for each channel. mean = np . mean ( x , axis = ( 0 , 1 , 2 ), keepdims = True ) var = np . var ( x , axis = ( 0 , 1 , 2 ), keepdims = True ) # Normalize the ...
NumPy (pronounced / ˈ n ʌ m p aɪ / NUM-py) is a library for the Python programming language, adding support for large, multi-dimensional arrays and matrices, along with a large collection of high-level mathematical functions to operate on these arrays. [3]
The "moving average filter" is a trivial example of a Savitzky-Golay filter that is commonly used with time series data to smooth out short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles. Each subset of the data set is fit with a straight horizontal line as opposed to a higher order polynomial.
Local regression or local polynomial regression, [1] also known as moving regression, [2] is a generalization of the moving average and polynomial regression. [3] Its most common methods, initially developed for scatterplot smoothing, are LOESS (locally estimated scatterplot smoothing) and LOWESS (locally weighted scatterplot smoothing), both pronounced / ˈ l oʊ ɛ s / LOH-ess.
In time series analysis, the Box–Jenkins method, [1] named after the statisticians George Box and Gwilym Jenkins, applies autoregressive moving average (ARMA) or autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to find the best fit of a time-series model to past values of a time series.