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The Economist reports that superforecasters are clever (with a good mental attitude), but not necessarily geniuses. It reports on the treasure trove of data coming from The Good Judgment Project, showing that accurately selected amateur forecasters (and the confidence they had in their forecasts) were often more accurately tuned than experts. [1]
In 2015, Stratfor published a decade forecast for 2015 to 2025, which revised the predictions on China and Russia made in the book. Rather than the Russian government completely collapsing, it envisioned that the Russian government would lose much of its power, and the country would gradually fragment into a series of semi-autonomous regions.
The project spawned a 2015 book by Tetlock and coauthored by Dan Gardner, Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction, that divulges the main findings of the research conducted with the data from the GJP. [36] Co-author Gardner had already published a book in 2010, that quoted previous research by Tetlock that seeded the GJP effort. [37]
Four astrologers made their predictions about the 2025 Super Bowl, studying how cosmic events will intersect with players' charts, plus the teams' overall charts.
A superforecaster is a person who makes forecasts that can be shown by statistical means to have been consistently more accurate than the general public or experts. . Superforecasters sometimes use modern analytical and statistical methodologies to augment estimates of base rates of events; research finds that such forecasters are typically more accurate than experts in the field who do not ...
Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) started this year off with strength. Earnings were soaring, and in the months that followed, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 invited the stock to join.
This is an accepted version of this page This is the latest accepted revision, reviewed on 6 March 2025. This is a dynamic list and may never be able to satisfy particular standards for completeness. You can help by adding missing items with reliable sources. The Last Judgment by painter Hans Memling. In Christian belief, the Last Judgement is an apocalyptic event where God makes a final ...
To parse the 2024 Super Bowl, we called upon Sanctuary astrologer Lauren Ash, along with fellow astrologers Catherine Urban, Raquel Reyes, as well as myself, Lisa Stardust, for celestial guidance.