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  2. Examples of Markov chains - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Examples_of_Markov_chains

    A game of snakes and ladders or any other game whose moves are determined entirely by dice is a Markov chain, indeed, an absorbing Markov chain. This is in contrast to card games such as blackjack, where the cards represent a 'memory' of the past moves. To see the difference, consider the probability for a certain event in the game.

  3. Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain

    A Markov chain is a type of Markov process that has either a discrete state space or a discrete index set (often representing time), but the precise definition of a Markov chain varies. [6] For example, it is common to define a Markov chain as a Markov process in either discrete or continuous time with a countable state space (thus regardless ...

  4. Markov model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_model

    Markov-chains have been used as a forecasting methods for several topics, for example price trends, [8] wind power [9] and solar irradiance. [10] The Markov-chain forecasting models utilize a variety of different settings, from discretizing the time-series [ 9 ] to hidden Markov-models combined with wavelets [ 8 ] and the Markov-chain mixture ...

  5. Markov chain Monte Carlo - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_chain_Monte_Carlo

    In statistics, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a class of algorithms used to draw samples from a probability distribution. Given a probability distribution, one can construct a Markov chain whose elements' distribution approximates it – that is, the Markov chain's equilibrium distribution matches the target distribution. The more steps ...

  6. Continuous-time Markov chain - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Continuous-time_Markov_chain

    A continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) is a continuous stochastic process in which, for each state, the process will change state according to an exponential random variable and then move to a different state as specified by the probabilities of a stochastic matrix. An equivalent formulation describes the process as changing state according to ...

  7. Stochastic process - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stochastic_process

    A Markov chain is a type of Markov process that has either discrete state space or discrete index set (often representing time), but the precise definition of a Markov chain varies. [196] For example, it is common to define a Markov chain as a Markov process in either discrete or continuous time with a countable state space (thus regardless of ...

  8. Markov decision process - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markov_decision_process

    The "Markov" in "Markov decision process" refers to the underlying structure of state transitions that still follow the Markov property. The process is called a "decision process" because it involves making decisions that influence these state transitions, extending the concept of a Markov chain into the realm of decision-making under uncertainty.

  9. Markovian arrival process - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markovian_arrival_process

    The Markov-modulated Poisson process or MMPP where m Poisson processes are switched between by an underlying continuous-time Markov chain. [8] If each of the m Poisson processes has rate λ i and the modulating continuous-time Markov has m × m transition rate matrix R , then the MAP representation is