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The general regression model with n observations and k explanators, the first of which is a constant unit vector whose coefficient is the regression intercept, is = + where y is an n × 1 vector of dependent variable observations, each column of the n × k matrix X is a vector of observations on one of the k explanators, is a k × 1 vector of true coefficients, and e is an n× 1 vector of the ...
It is calculated as the sum of squares of the prediction residuals for those observations. [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 3 ] Specifically, the PRESS statistic is an exhaustive form of cross-validation , as it tests all the possible ways that the original data can be divided into a training and a validation set.
If that sum of squares is divided by n, the number of observations, the result is the mean of the squared residuals. Since this is a biased estimate of the variance of the unobserved errors, the bias is removed by dividing the sum of the squared residuals by df = n − p − 1, instead of n , where df is the number of degrees of freedom ( n ...
Using matrix notation, the sum of squared residuals is given by S ( β ) = ( y − X β ) T ( y − X β ) . {\displaystyle S(\beta )=(y-X\beta )^{T}(y-X\beta ).} Since this is a quadratic expression, the vector which gives the global minimum may be found via matrix calculus by differentiating with respect to the vector β {\displaystyle \beta ...
In ordinary least squares, the definition simplifies to: =, =, where the numerator is the residual sum of squares (RSS). When the fit is just an ordinary mean, then χ ν 2 {\displaystyle \chi _{\nu }^{2}} equals the sample variance , the squared sample standard deviation .
In statistics, deviance is a goodness-of-fit statistic for a statistical model; it is often used for statistical hypothesis testing.It is a generalization of the idea of using the sum of squares of residuals (SSR) in ordinary least squares to cases where model-fitting is achieved by maximum likelihood.
As mentioned in the introduction, in this article the "best" fit will be understood as in the least-squares approach: a line that minimizes the sum of squared residuals (see also Errors and residuals) ^ (differences between actual and predicted values of the dependent variable y), each of which is given by, for any candidate parameter values and ,
If the sum of squares were not normalized, its value would always be larger for the sample of 100 people than for the sample of 20 people. To scale the sum of squares, we divide it by the degrees of freedom, i.e., calculate the sum of squares per degree of freedom, or variance. Standard deviation, in turn, is the square root of the variance.