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The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
The Keys to the White House is a system that uses 13 true/false criteria to predict whether the presidential candidate of the incumbent party will win or lose the next election. [2] The system and Lichtman's predictions based on it have received extensive media coverage. [3] [4] Lichtman has accurately predicted the outcomes of many ...
November 1–2, 2008 50%: 43% 7 971 LV ±3% CBS News [6] October 31–November 2, 2008 51%: 42% 9 714 LV Not reported Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby International (Daily Tracking) [7] October 31–November 2, 2008 50.9%: 43.8% 7.1 Not reported Not reported Investor's Daily Business/TIPP (Daily Tracking) [8] October 31–November 2, 2008 47.5%: 43% 4.5 ...
Off-target predictions about U.S. presidential races have been abundant in recent election cycles. Seldom, however, do prominent miscalls create lasting repercussions for the wayward prognosticator.
After predicting the winners of the previous five elections, The Literary Digest (based on cards mailed in by its readers) predicted that Alf Landon would win by a large margin. George Gallup predicted a Roosevelt win, based on statistical random sampling within 1.1 percent of the Literary Digest results.
As of the 2024 presidential election, this is the most recent time a Democrat carried Indiana and North Carolina in a presidential election, as well as the most recent presidential election where any candidate would win with over two-thirds of the electoral vote. McCain remains the last presidential candidate to receive fewer than 200 electoral ...
April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain: 60% Rasmussen Reports [6] April 2, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain: 51% University of South Alabama [7] March 24-March 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 30% John McCain: 52% Survey USA [8] March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain: 56% Survey USA [9] February 26-February 28 ...
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