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The notation ARMAX(p, q, b) refers to a model with p autoregressive terms, q moving average terms and b exogenous inputs terms. The last term is a linear combination of the last b terms of a known and external time series d t {\displaystyle d_{t}} .
The notation () indicates an autoregressive model of order p.The AR(p) model is defined as = = + where , …, are the parameters of the model, and is white noise. [1] [2] This can be equivalently written using the backshift operator B as
Polynomials of the lag operator can be used, and this is a common notation for ARMA (autoregressive moving average) models. For example, = = = (=) specifies an AR(p) model.A polynomial of lag operators is called a lag polynomial so that, for example, the ARMA model can be concisely specified as
A VAR with p lags can always be equivalently rewritten as a VAR with only one lag by appropriately redefining the dependent variable. The transformation amounts to stacking the lags of the VAR(p) variable in the new VAR(1) dependent variable and appending identities to complete the precise number of equations.
In time series analysis used in statistics and econometrics, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA) models are generalizations of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model to non-stationary series and periodic variation, respectively.
Random variables are usually written in upper case Roman letters, such as or and so on. Random variables, in this context, usually refer to something in words, such as "the height of a subject" for a continuous variable, or "the number of cars in the school car park" for a discrete variable, or "the colour of the next bicycle" for a categorical variable.
Mathematical notation consists of using symbols for representing operations, unspecified numbers, relations, and any other mathematical objects and assembling them into expressions and formulas. Mathematical notation is widely used in mathematics , science , and engineering for representing complex concepts and properties in a concise ...
Symbol Name Meaning SI unit of measure nabla dot : the divergence operator often pronounced "del dot" per meter (m −1) : nabla cross : the curl operator often pronounced "del cross"