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The 2015 Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3, or UCERF3, is the latest official earthquake rupture forecast (ERF) for the state of California, superseding UCERF2. It provides authoritative estimates of the likelihood and severity of potentially damaging earthquake ruptures in the long- and near-term.
The 2008 Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2, or UCERF2, is one of a series of earthquake forecasts prepared for the state California by the Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP), collaboration of the United States Geological Survey, the California Geological Survey, and the Southern California ...
Estimates predict a multi-segment rupture of the fault zone is capable of producing an earthquake of magnitude 7.6–7.9. [6] [3] An earthquake this large in such close proximity to densely-populated southern California would be devastating. [7] In 1986, a M s 5.8 earthquake struck off the coast of Oceanside, killing 1 and injuring 29 more.
Southern California's last "Big One" was in 1857, when an earthquake with a magnitude of roughly 7.9 ruptured 225 miles of fault on the San Andreas, between Monterey and San Bernardino counties.
A full fault rupture, estimated to be around a 7.5 magnitude, could kill between 3,000 and 18,000 people, according to US Geological Survey and Southern California Earthquake Center. Up to 735,000 ...
The quake ruptured on a small section of a fault ... It could kill far more people — 3,000 to 18,000 people, according to the U.S. Geological Survey and the Southern California Earthquake Center ...
The 2015 Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3, or UCERF3, is the latest official earthquake rupture forecast (ERF) for the state of California, superseding UCERF2. It provides authoritative estimates of the likelihood and severity of potentially damaging earthquake ruptures in the long- and near-term.
A rupture on the Mendocino Fracture Zone would correspond with the former fault orientation. [4] It is the largest earthquake to strike the state of California since the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquakes, and the strongest to strike the northwestern coast of the state since 2005. [7]