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  2. How 538's 2024 House election forecast works - AOL

    www.aol.com/538s-2024-house-election-forecast...

    On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is to combine polling data (say, on which party Americans want to control ...

  3. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.

  4. How to read political polls in 2024

    www.aol.com/read-political-polls-2024-142840364.html

    In 2022, polls conducted in the final three weeks before Election Day missed the final margin of Senate, House and governor elections by a weighted*** average of 4.8 points.

  5. 2025 Philippine House of Representatives elections - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Philippine_House_of...

    The Philippines uses parallel voting for its lower house elections. For this election, there are 317 seats in the House of Representatives; 254 of these are district representatives, and 63 are party-list representatives. [7] Philippine law mandates that there should be one party-list representative for every four district representatives.

  6. Opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the...

    The Senate of the Philippines is elected via multiple non-transferable vote on an at-large basis, where a voter has 12 votes, cannot transfer any of the votes to a candidate, and can vote for up to twelve candidates. If the mock ballot has 13 or more preferences, the pollster classifies it as "invalid."

  7. 2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump

    www.aol.com/2024-polls-were-accurate-still...

    According to 538's analysis of polls conducted in competitive states* in which over 95 percent of the expected vote was counted as of Nov. 8 at 6 a.m. Eastern, the average poll conducted over the ...

  8. 2022 Philippine House of Representatives elections - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Philippine_House_of...

    The Philippines uses parallel voting for its lower house elections. For this election, there are 316 seats in the House of Representatives; 253 of these are district representatives, and 63 are party-list representatives. [14] Philippine law mandates that there should be one party-list representative for every four district representatives.

  9. The 2024 election could come down to a single tipping ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/2024-election-could-come-down...

    In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...