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The doomsday argument (DA), or Carter catastrophe, is a probabilistic argument that claims to predict the future population of the human species based on an estimation of the number of humans born to date. The doomsday argument was originally proposed by the astrophysicist Brandon Carter in 1983, [1] leading to the initial name of the Carter ...
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If the doomsday argument can apply to itself it can be simultaneously right (as a probabilistic argument) and probably wrong (as a prediction).. Therefore, Landsberg and Dewynne argue that it is more likely that the doomsday argument is wrong (even if its logic is correct) than that the human race will become extinct in 9,000 years (which the doomsday argument calculates at around 95% likely).
Doomsday may refer to: Eschatology , a time period described in the eschatological writings in Abrahamic religions and in doomsday scenarios of non-Abrahamic religions. Global catastrophic risk , a hypothetical event explored in science and fiction where human civilization or life is at risk of partial or complete destruction.
The self-indication assumption doomsday argument rebuttal is an objection to the doomsday argument (that there is only a 5% chance of more than twenty times the historic number of humans ever being born) by arguing that the chance of being born is not one, but is an increasing function of the number of people who will be born.
Paul Davies, How to build a time machine, 2002, Penguin popular science, ISBN 0-14-100534-3 gives a very brief non-mathematical description of Gott's alternative; the specific setup is not intended by Gott as the best-engineered approach to moving backwards in time, rather, it is a theoretical argument for a non-wormhole means of time travel.
Doomsday is a 2008 science fiction action film [5] written and directed by Neil Marshall. The film takes place in the future in Scotland , which has been quarantined because of a deadly virus. When the virus is found in London , political leaders send a team led by Major Eden Sinclair ( Rhona Mitra ) to Scotland to find a possible cure.
Doomsday scenarios are possible events that could cause human extinction or the destruction of all or most life on Earth (a "true" or "major" Armageddon scenario), or alternatively a "lesser" Armageddon scenario in which the cultural, technological, environmental or social world is so greatly altered it could be considered like a different world.