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The expected payoff for playing strategy 1 / 2 Y + 1 / 2 Z must be greater than the expected payoff for playing pure strategy X, assigning 1 / 2 and 1 / 2 as tester values. The argument for mixed strategy dominance can be made if there is at least one mixed strategy that allows for dominance.
Risk dominance and payoff dominance are two related refinements of the Nash equilibrium (NE) solution concept in game theory, defined by John Harsanyi and Reinhard Selten.A Nash equilibrium is considered payoff dominant if it is Pareto superior to all other Nash equilibria in the game. 1 When faced with a choice among equilibria, all players would agree on the payoff dominant equilibrium since ...
Each is non-negative and their sum is 1. This is the risk-neutral measure! Now it remains to show that it works as advertised, i.e. taking expected values with respect to this probability measure will give the right price at time 0. Suppose you have a security C whose price at time 0 is C(0). In the future, in a state i, its payoff will be C i.
The expected payoff for this equilibrium is 7(1/3) + 2(1/3) + 6(1/3) = 5 which is higher than the expected payoff of the mixed strategy Nash equilibrium. The following correlated equilibrium has an even higher payoff to both players: Recommend ( C , C ) with probability 1/2, and ( D , C ) and ( C , D ) with probability 1/4 each.
Fig. 1 Typical project cash flow with uncertainty. The mathematical equation for the DM Method is shown below. The method captures the real option value by discounting the distribution of operating profits at R, the market risk rate, and discounting the distribution of the discretionary investment at r, risk-free rate, before the expected payoff is calculated.
Traditional inflation-free rate of interest for risk-free loans: 3-5%; Expected rate of inflation: 5%; The anticipated change in the rate of inflation, if any, over the life of the investment: Usually taken at 0%; The risk of defaulting on a loan: 0-5%; The risk profile of a particular venture: 0-5% and higher
Debt snowball method: What it is and how it works. With the debt snowball method, you order your debts by size of outstanding balance and make minimum payments, putting any extra money in your ...
An immunization strategy is designed so that as interest rates change, interest-rate risk and reinvestment risk will offset each other. However, as Dr. Frank Fabozzi points out, the Macaulay duration metric and immunization theory are based on the assumption that any shifts in the yield curve during the planning period will be parallel, i.e ...