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[4] [6] Retrospective polls showed that a majority of Americans continued to approve of the Reagan presidency in the years and decades that followed it. [ 3 ] [ 4 ] Retrospective approval ratings
In political science, economic voting is a theoretical perspective which argues that voter behavior is heavily influenced by the economic conditions in their country at the time of the election. According to the classical form of this perspective, voters tend to vote more in favor of the incumbent candidate and party when the economy is doing ...
During 2012–2013, Malhotra was the recipient of a grant from the Russell Sage Foundation to study how voters weight recent events compared to events in the distant past, which is related to the question of retrospective voting in American politics. [4] In 2015, Poets & Quants listed Malhotra as one of the top 40 professors under 40 years old. [2]
A third problem that can complicate issue voting is if there are multiple issues that are equally salient to the voter. [48] A candidate may have a similar position to a given voter on one issue, but may take a considerably different stance on another. [49] [50] An example of this occurred in the 2008 US presidential election.
Retrospective voting has a huge influence on the outcome of an election. However, the risk of retrospective voting is a lot weaker with coalition governments than in single party governments. Within the coalition, the party with the head of state has the biggest risk of retrospective voting. [6]
In Connecticut’s 2nd Senate District, for example, Republicans decreased their loss margin by some 20 percentage points. But Democrats see promising signs in other areas. In Iowa’s 45th Senate District, where Clinton defeated Trump by about 16 percentage points, Democrat Jim Lykam defeated Mike Gonzales, the GOP candidate, by an almost 50 ...
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Voting behavior is significantly influenced by retrospective assessments of government performance, which should be differentiated from the influence of policy issues. [43] Different opinions on what the government ought to do are involved in policy concerns, which are prospective or based on what will happen.