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In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
In the race for the White House, a candidate will have to win 270 of the 538 total electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Electoral votes are allocated among the states based on ...
Now, 538’s forecast assumes that electoral votes will go to the candidate who has won them based on the election results — but that’s not a 100-percent given.
Silver’s model shows Trump has a 51.5% chance of clinching the Electoral College while Harris has a 48.1% chance, according to a Substack post on Sunday morning, Mediate reported.
[538 41] [34] [35] The transition took place on August 25, 2010, with the publication of Silver's first FiveThirtyEight blog article online in The New York Times. [538 42] On June 3, 2010, The New York Times and Silver announced that FiveThirtyEight had formed a partnership under which the blog would be hosted by the Times for a period of three ...
The Electoral College math Under the Electoral College, a candidate needs to win 270 votes — a majority of the 538 total electors — to win. Seven states are widely considered to be the key ...
As of Tuesday, Silver’s Electoral College forecast shows former President Trump with a 56.2% chance of winning the electoral college compared to Harris’ 43.5% chance of winning.